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More Mickey York? His wife doesn’t even say that.

My bad. I guess the lord won it.

Told ya.

Cade about to win it.

Haven't listened yet, but Tony Paul dropped a 1+ hr podcast interview with Al Avila that appeared to be pretty revealing.

Bobrob’s 2025 Preseason Prediction #11 – Ednel Javier Baez Javier Baez has been with Detroit since 2022, and every year has been worse than the previous, 89 wRC+ in 2022; 63 wRC+ in 2023; and 43 wRC+ in 2024. Baez missed half a season worth of games last year due to hip injury that required season ending surgery. The injury could explain some of his struggles in 2024 and it’ll be nice to see if he can bounce back some when he’s fully healthy, but the 6/year, $140 million contract looks to be one of the worst in baseball history. With three years remaining and $25 million owed this year, the Tigers are not going to just cut him, so he’ll get plenty of playing time in 2025, especially now that he is playing some games at third base now that they have sent Jace Jung to the minor leagues (there’s also talk about playing him some in centerfield). Entering his age 32 season, Javier Baez is far removed from his prime years. From 2017-2021, Baez hit .271/.312/.503 with an average of 25 home runs a year. Since joining the Tigers in 2022, Baez has hit .221/.262/.347 with a 70 wRC+. The 70 wRC+ since 2022 is the fourth worst in baseball (min. 1000 PA) behind Myles Straw (67 wRC+). Nicky Lopez (68 wRC+), and Tim Anderson (69 wRC+). There are plenty of stats that show Baez’ decline. He usually always struggled with off-speed pitches (except for 2019), but during his prime he was able to hit the fastball as well as the curveball. Fastball: 2017 – 258 PA | .309 BA | .523 SLG 2018 – 305 PA | .308 BA | .566 SLG 2019 – 275 PA | .267 BA | .516 SLG 2020 – 106 PA | .253 BA | .394 SLG 2021 – 264 PA | .267 BA | .487 SLG ----------------------------------------------- 2022 – 235 PA | .271 BA | .459 SLG 2023 – 246 PA | .206 BA | .284 SLG 2024 – 135 PA | .200 BA | .292 SLG Breaking: 2017 – 181 PA | .236 BA | .466 SLG 2018 – 263 PA | .285 BA | .570 SLG 2019 – 219 PA | .296 BA | .556 SLG 2020 – 107 PA | .158 BA | .297 SLG 2021 – 210 PA | .290 BA | .545 SLG ----------------------------------------------- 2022 – 272 PA | .213 BA | .369 SLG 2023 – 229 PA | .231 BA | .348 SLG 2024 – 125 PA | .171 BA | .308 SLG 2020 was an odd year, shortened because of Covid and probably should be taken out for analysis. This is also a long-winded way of saying that Baez has lost his power, although his home run rate increased from 1.7 percent in 2023 to 2.1 percent in 2024 and his extra base hit percentage increased from 5.7 percent in 2023 to 6.2 percent in 2024. Still far away from his peak numbers of 5.7 percent home run rate and 12.9 percent extra base hit percentage. Maybe injuries were a major factor the last few years and now that Baez has had surgery, he will produce better in 2025. Although, age is not on his side and it’s not like he is hitting well in Spring Training. There is still the possibility that he won’t even get 400 plate appearances. I fully expect another disappointing season, although I have been surprised before. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: FGDC – 339 AB | .234/.278/.373 | 10 HR | 41 RBI | 8 SB | 17 BB | 88 K Steamer – 264 AB | .237/.280/.381 | 8 HR | 31 RBI | 6 SB | 13 BB | 66 K ZiPS DC – 340 AB | .231/.275/.365 | 9 HR | 42 RBI | 8 SB | 17 BB | 92 K ATC – 310 AB | .227/.271/.359 | 8 HR | 36 RBI | 7 SB | 15 BB | 80 K THE BAT X – 307 AB | .232/.276/.369 | 9 HR | 35 RBI | 7 SB | 15 BB | 80 K OOPSY – 339 AB | .234/.280/.388 | 11 HR | 39 RBI | 9 SB | 18 BB | 91 K RotoChamp – 319 AB | .229/.275/.364 | 9 HR | 7 SB | 16 BB | 83 K CBS Sports – 318 AB | .217/.264/.343 | 8 HR | 9 SB | 16 BB | 83 K ESPN – 172 AB | .221/.262/.343 | 4 HR | 4 SB | 8 BB | 43 K My Prediction: 2024 Prediction – 527 AB | .235/.282/.372 | 14 HR | 63 RBI | 12 SB | 26 BB | 136 K 2024 Actual – 272 AB | .184/.221/.294 | 6 HR | 37 RBI | 8 SB | 12 BB | 69 K 2025 Prediction – 394 AB | .216/.255/.330 | 9 HR | 49 RBI | 8 SB | 18 BB | 102 K

i want asp to come straight to detroit when he's done this year.

ucsd is really good. they could easily beat michigan. popular upset pick.

Best statistical analysis ever.

It's based on CNN exit polls, but they stack up with other exit polls I have seen. https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2024/politics/2020-2016-exit-polls-2024-dg/

Great song. The link lead me to this https://youtu.be/NySpcFpPcQg?si=v4iBdC0oathxeJZD

Has there been an analysis done on the 2024 election to see who voted, who didnt, who switched, etc.? That's where we will find our answers. Did people switch from Biden to Trump? Did people vote for Biden in '20 then not vote? Did people who didn't vote in '20 come out for Trump? That kind of thing.

Biden got the most votes ever in any single election in history. The Dems are fighting an information ecosystem controlled by the right wing and a segment of rat****ing leftists. Dems, particularly progressives, have this weird phobia of never being able to celebrate accomplishments. Biden gets a bill passed that caps insulin, allows Medicare to negotiate drug prices, made historic investments in green energy, and created millions of jobs and progressives publicly complained it wasn't good enough. The economy was good under Biden, but Dems kept running away from it and threw Biden under the bus. Republicans would never do that to Trump.

Owners will either get them backed unfixed, or never get them back at all.

Cade 25 pts Triple Double and ZERO free throw attempts.

That blocked shot and save? Miami was 3 on 1, I was already adding 2 in my head. That was amazing, how did he not step out...

okc wins by 33.

the lord called "bank".

Great defense by Cade. Pistons go down and give it away though.

no comment

Actually, I think the magic number is 8. Eight more wins puts the Pistons at 46 wins total, one more than what is possible for the Magic, and the max wins possible for the Hawks. The Pistons have the tiebreaker over the Hawks but not the Magic.

National announcers suck

Mize threw well again today - I don't know how he doesn't make the rotation. Javy with two hard hit balls, Tork on base 3 times, Jake with a hit and a walk, Torres still punishing the ball. The lineup is looking a lot better from the batters box on the left side. Sweeney is a guy who needs to get going though. Defensively I like the idea of he and Baez on the left side.

Magic # to clinch the 6 seed is 6. With, I think, 13 games remaining?

Perhaps having all of their rights gutted for the next four years will interest them.

Torres to 3B, Keith back to 2B and keep Tork at 1B (as long as he produces). We should be catering to Keith since he is on a long contract with the team and play (one year contract) Torres where he is most needed to make this team it's best.

I'm still getting emails from the Tigers about their new Home Plate Club. That tells me.... they ain't selling that well. I'm a nobody. A partial ticket holder not affiliated with a company or anything like that.

Great points. One of your best comments ever.

Bobrob’s 2025 Preseason Prediction #9 – Jacob Ray Rogers After missing the entire 2022 season due to Tommy John surgery, Jake Rogers showed plenty of power in 2023 with 21 home runs and a .224 ISO. However, he was not able to replicate that power in 2024, only hitting ten home runs with a weak batting line of .197/.255/.352, making my 2024 prediction look hilariously bad (but not as bad as Spencer Torkelson’s!). What happened to his power and can he regain it in 2025? 2021 – 127 PA | .257 ISO | 11.0% XBH% | 4.7% HR% | 18.8% HR/FB% 2023 – 365 PA | .224 ISO | 8.8% XBH% | 5.8% HR% | 23.3% HR/FB% 2024 – 337 PA | .155 ISO | 8.0% XBH% | 3.0% HR% | 11.0% HR/FB% While 2021 was a relatively small sample size, Rogers was able to sustain or improve on some of the power numbers in 2023. However, his power numbers have significantly gone down in 2024 for the not yet 30-year old. Part of the reason for this is his splits against left-handed pitchers. In 2023, Rogers hit .235/.296/.561 vs. southpaws in 108 plate appearances with an 8.3 percent home run rate. In 2024, Rogers only hit .169/.258/.241 vs. southpaws in 93 plate appearances with only a 1.1 percent home run rate. That’s a huge drop and not something a manager that loves to play the matchups like A.J. Hinch wants to see. Jake Rogers also wasn’t able to hit the fastball as well as he did in 2023. With plate appearances that ended in a fastball over the last two seasons: 2023 – 211 PA | .220/.243/.489 | 15 HR 2024 – 191 PA | .184/.214/.368 | 7 HR It’s also interesting to see that Rogers has been able to lower his strikeout rate every year and, at the same time, his walk rate has also decreased. 2019 – 128 PA | 10.2% BB% | 39.8% K% 2021 – 127 PA | 8.7% BB% | 36.2% K% 2023 – 365 PA | 7.7% BB% | 32.3% K% 2024 – 337 PA | 6.5% BB% | 29.4% K% While it’s nice to see his strikeout rate below 30 percent, I do hope his walk rate trend doesn’t continue. Maybe he is overaggressive, trying to put the ball in play more. But he should be more selective, be patient to draw more walks with the risk of looking at a called third strike. Lucky, the Tigers rely on Jake Rogers more for his defense than his offense. According to Baseball Savant, Rogers was elite in Fielding Run Value (95th percentile), Blocks Above Average (89th percentile), and Framing (91st percentile). Now that Rogers is entering his age-30 season, it’s unlikely that the power numbers will return and with 2023 looking like a fluke. He may be able to get his batting average potentially back to over .200, but he will probably only hit a dozen or so home runs. As long as the defense is there, that is just alright. Experts’ Predictions/Projections: FGDC – 348 AB | .212/.277/.380 | 14 HR | 45 RBI | 2 SB | 29 BB | 116 K Steamer – 312 AB | .215/.280/.384 | 13 HR | 39 RBI | 3 SB | 26 BB | 101 K ZiPS DC – 348 AB | .209/.275/.376 | 13 HR | 46 RBI | 1 SB | 29 BB | 120 K ATC – 308 AB | .208/.274/.376 | 12 HR | 39 RBI | 1 SB | 25 BB | 102 K THE BAT X – 306 AB | .208/.277/.366 | 11 HR | 38 RBI | 2 SB | 26 BB | 104 K OOPSY – 348 AB | .215/.279/.382 | 14 HR | 42 RBI | 2 SB | 29 BB | 115 K RotoChamp – 321 AB | .212/.284/.374 | 12 HR | 40 RBI | 2 SB | 27 BB | 107 K CBS Sports – 380 AB | .226/.291/.437 | 20 HR | 50 RBI | 1 SB | 31 BB | 124 K ESPN – 376 AB | .213/.277/.402 | 17 HR | 47 RBI | 1 SB | 30 BB | 124 K My Prediction: 2024 Prediction – 338 AB | .213/.282/.417 | 19 HR | 50 RBI | 1 SB | 30 BB | 124 K 2023 Actual – 310 AB | .197/.255/.352 | 10 HR | 36 RBI | 1 SB | 22 BB | 99 K 2024 Prediction – 316 AB | .203/.264/.367 | 12 HR | 41 RBI | 1 SB | 24 BB | 109 K

Homage to a Government, Philip Larkin Next year we are to bring all the soldiers home For lack of money, and it is all right. Places they guarded, or kept orderly, Must guard themselves, and keep themselves orderly We want the money for ourselves at home Instead of working. And this is all right. It's hard to say who wanted it to happen, But now it's been decided nobody minds. The places are a long way off, not here, Which is all right, and from what we hear The soldiers there only made trouble happen. Next year we shall be easier in our minds. Next year we shall be living in a country That brought its soldiers home for lack of money. The statues will be standing in the same Tree-muffled squares, and look nearly the same. Our children will not know it's a different country. All we can hope to leave them now is money.