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04/01/2023 4:10pm EDT Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays


casimir

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43 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

I think this has more to do with wanting to see McKinstry or whatever other LHH IF they cycle through. If you look at his numbers, Schoop has almost zero career OPS platoon split. Cut it a little finer it is still a muddled picture. He had a big platoon split in 21 - you might expect it to get bigger for your average player as they pass by their prime, but the ironic thing is that last year he collapsed against LHP even worse than RHP, putting up a reverse platoon split of 80 points. So no immediate reason to think he's going to be all that much better against LHP. But you would expect the LHH like McKinstry to have the bigger split to protect as most LHH do.

As noted above, the Harris regime does not seem disposed to give Schoop any legacy priority - he's going to have to play his way back into a regular job if he can.

I mean, that's straight from the horses mouth. If AJ is saying he isn't gonna play much against RHP, I'll take him at his word

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23 minutes ago, Edman85 said:

Thing I realized earlier today...

McKinstry and Rogers are older than Austin Meadows.

yeah - expectation for McKinstry should not be high. Don't be terrible at the plate and leverage his speed to be useful otherwise. If there is going to be season 'success' at 2b it more likely will be Kriiedler playing himself into full time PA there.

Edited by gehringer_2
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28 minutes ago, Edman85 said:

Career OPS split, sorted by the split regressed to 1000 PA vs LHP/league averages (which "The Book" recommends). It's a short-hand, and obviously very limited, but...

 

 

 

image.png

What is the formula you are using to regress to 1000 PA?

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8 minutes ago, chasfh said:

What is the formula you are using to regress to 1000 PA?

for LHB: (.057*1000+Split*PA)/(1000+PA)

For RHB: (-0.037*1000+Split*PA)/(1000+PA)

For Switch (n/a here): (Split*PA)/(1000+PA)

Obviously, very limited, and teams can parse things to pitch type, weather, time of day, pitcher ground/fly tendencies, you name it, but handedness of the pitcher is the biggest one.

Edited by Edman85
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3 minutes ago, Edman85 said:

for LHB: (.057*1000+Split*PA)/(1000+PA)

For RHB: (-0.037*1000+Split*PA)/(1000+PA)

For Switch (n/a here): (Split*PA)/(1000+PA)

Obviously, very limited, and teams can parse things to pitch type, weather, time of day, pitcher ground/fly tendencies, you name it, but handedness of the pitcher is the biggest one.

How do you arrive at the constants for the split?

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15 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

yeah - expectation for McKinstry should not be high. Don't be terrible at the plate and leverage his speed to be useful otherwise. If there is going to be season 'success' at 2b it more likely will be Kriiedler playing himself into full time PA there.

Or Maton moves to second and Keith or Malloy takes over third later in the season.  

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