SoCalTiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 26 minutes ago, Tiger337 said: If I watch ten Tigers games and you watch just one, who is more likely to see at least one Tigers victory? I think over 10 games you are but each game individually is the same ? But I hate long division Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RatkoVarda Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 Al should go get him Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RatkoVarda Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 53 minutes ago, mtutiger said: Surprised at how quiet Philly has been this deadline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCalTiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Brandon Marsh to DD and the Phillies. What the heck. Perfect for us Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tenacious D Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 why can't we have nice things?!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RatkoVarda Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KL2 Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, SoCalTiger said: Brandon Marsh to DD and the Phillies. What the heck. Perfect for us 1 minute ago, Tenacious D said: why can't we have nice things?!? Don't we have enough low OPS guys already? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiger337 Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, SoCalTiger said: I think over 10 games you are but each game individually is the same ? But I hate long division Yes, each game is the same, but that is not the point. Getting back to championships, if the Tigers make the playoffs five years in a row (yeah, I know that's crazy!) they are more likely to win at least one championship than if they only make the playoffs once in five years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Good news.... he was on the Mets / Blue Jays radar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tenacious D Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, KL2 said: Don't we have enough low OPS guys already? that was more of a general comment, not specific to Marsh. Agree, he's a bad fit--K's over 30%, too. Our issue is that we can't be sellers because our only tradable assets are relievers, which we're seeing over the last few days, are a commodity in the league. We can't be buyers because we don't have the prospect capital that others teams do (which is criminal given where we've drafted the last few years). Even if we wanted to flip our recent 1st rounders, how much value would Mize, Tork and Jobe have? Edited August 2, 2022 by Tenacious D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hongbit Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Tigers trade deadline update: Al Avila had a beautiful drive on hole 2 and made birdie at Detroit Golf Club. His group is -2 at the turn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Tenacious D said: Our issue is that we can't be sellers because our only tradable assets are relievers, which we're seeing over the last few days, are a commodity in the league. We can't be buyers because we don't have the prospect capital that others teams do (which is criminal given where we've drafted the last few years). Even if we wanted to flip our recent 1st rounders, how much value would Mize, Tork and Jobe have? Agree with the general thrust of your comment, although I'm not entirely sure the reliever market is fully settled at this point either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pyrotigers Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, Tiger337 said: Yes, each game is the same, but that is not the point. Getting back to championships, if the Tigers make the playoffs five years in a row (yeah, I know that's crazy!) they are more likely to win at least one championship than if they only make the playoffs once in five years. I've designed this handy imaginary diagram for two competing situations. In scenario one, the Tigers utterly sell out and boost their chances one season, but never again make the playoffs, in the other they make it every season but are not a favorite. Scenario one: 1/8+0+0+0+0+0+0+0+0+0 Scenario two: 1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12+1/12 What I've decided is fractions suck and I'm a fool for not using decimals for this. Feel free to mock me, I deserve it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Where are the Cardinals btw? So much hype over the Juan Soto talks, but they haven't done much of anything Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theroundsquare Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Joey Gallo going to Chavez Ravine to hit balls over the mountains. I fully expect the Dodgers to get him back to form Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordstanley Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Tiger337 said: 8.3% is not such a low probability that you'll benefit much from doing something more complex than binomial. Anyway, it doesn't become 50% until you reach 8 seasons. So, if a team gets into the playoffs 7 times, odds are they will not win a championship. So, it's not surprising that there are teams that go to the playoffs over and over without winning it all. You do increase your chances though. That’s why I don’t think the Tigers were playoff underachievers. 5 appearances between 2006-2014 yielded 4 trips to the ALCS and 2 pennants. That’s probably more than we could have expected, especially without home field advantage any of those years and only in 2006 did they have close to the best record in baseball. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buddha Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, lordstanley said: That’s why I don’t think the Tigers were playoff underachievers. 5 appearances between 2006-2014 yielded 4 trips to the ALCS and 2 pennants. That’s probably more than we could have expected, especially without home field advantage any of those years and only in 2006 did they have close to the best record in baseball. if anything, they were regular seasoj underachievers. 2013 was the biggest disappointment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCalTiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 44 minutes ago, Tiger337 said: Yes, each game is the same, but that is not the point. Getting back to championships, if the Tigers make the playoffs five years in a row (yeah, I know that's crazy!) they are more likely to win at least one championship than if they only make the playoffs once in five years. I agree with this. make sense to me...oh..oh..maybe not then..🙂 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCalTiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Twins making moves...getting Mahle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RatkoVarda Posted August 2, 2022 Author Share Posted August 2, 2022 finally! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tenacious D Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 How we doing? Avila working on his, “we made a lot of calls, but couldn’t find a fit that we thought was going to make us a better team” talking points? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Tenacious D said: How we doing? Avila working on his, “we made a lot of calls, but couldn’t find a fit that we thought was going to make us a better team” talking points? Still think there's a chance, particularly with the Mets not having acquired any relief yet. If they don't make any moves on Fulmer or Chafin, that's another failure to add to the ledger for Avila. Edited August 2, 2022 by mtutiger Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCalTiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 36 minutes ago, Tenacious D said: How we doing? Avila working on his, “we made a lot of calls, but couldn’t find a fit that we thought was going to make us a better team” talking points? Hope Chris is working on his "Time to move on from Al talking points" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted August 2, 2022 Share Posted August 2, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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