Jump to content

2021-22 Tigers Hot Stove League


RatkoVarda

Recommended Posts

21 hours ago, RedRamage said:

Sure they can... but that doesn't mean most will.  The vast majority of sport's team owners do not dump money into the team without expect (at the very least) for it to break even on revenue.  Just because fans want owners to be willing to operate the team at a loss doesn't mean it'll happen.

Major league baseball owners do far better than break even on revenue.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

 

How do we know this?  

Not too far back I had some numbers on team revenue - I've already forgotten the totals but it struck me that the teams with the bottom payrolls (<$70M) are definitely making money that way. My guess would be that the only teams that ever lose money in a given year are small/mid market teams that go into a short term salary over-extend like the Tigers did. The lux-tax prevents the rich teams from spending enough to lose money, the cheap teams are guaranteed enough income to make money as long as they stay cheap.

Edited by gehringer_2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

Not too far back I had some numbers on team revenue - I've already forgotten the totals but it struck me that the teams with the bottom payrolls (<$70M) are definitely making money that way. My guess would be that the only teams that ever lose money in a given year are small/mid market teams that go into a short term salary over-extend like the Tigers did. The lux-tax prevents the rich teams from spending enough to lose money, the cheap teams are guaranteed enough income to make money as long as they stay cheap.

It can be easily looked up.  I just don't know how reliable anything is since they don't show their books.  One list (from Forbes) showed that all had revenues exceeding operating expenses except the Yankees and Mets. It also showed the two NY teams didn't make much much revenue which was odd.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, chasfh said:

Major league baseball owners do far better than break even on revenue.

That's why I said "At the very least."  Most owners view this as a business and expect a profit.  Some might be willing to shave the profit line down because they really want a winner, but most won't.  Every once in a great while you'll see someone like Mike Ilitch who seemingly was willing to take a loss (maybe) because they want to win very badly.  

Your comment, while true, does nothing to support or counter my comment that most owners, while capable of running their teams at a loss, won't do that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, SoCalTiger said:

Rich people don’t lose money willing. Sam Walton drove an old Ford truck forever for goodness sake. Making money to them is “Scoreboard”. 

Some are that way.  Walton probably liked his truck.  Many of them like to own lots of sports cars or big mansions without putting a dent in their wealth.  

Edited by Tiger337
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Tiger337 said:

It can be easily looked up.  I just don't know how reliable anything is since they don't show their books.  One list (from Forbes) showed that all had revenues exceeding operating expenses except the Yankees and Mets. It also showed the two NY teams didn't make much much revenue which was odd.  

the league based revenue is pretty well known and player costs are pretty well established, Those things alone provide a decent basis for establishing whether a team *should* make money or not. I suppose any owner can run such a sloppy operation that they lose money because they are lousy business managers, but those cases, if any, are not the same thing as claiming that the economics of owning a baseball team are actually bad for any of the teams.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

MLB franchise valuations in millions:

Team 2011 2016 2021 16 vs '11 21 vs '11
New York Yankees  $   1,700  $   3,400  $   5,250 100% 209%
Boston Red Sox  $      912  $   2,300  $   3,570 152% 291%
Los Angeles Dodgers  $      800  $   2,500  $   3,465 213% 333%
Chicago Cubs  $      773  $   2,200  $   3,360 185% 335%
San Francisco Giants  $      563  $   2,250  $   3,175 300% 464%
New York Mets  $      747  $   1,650  $   2,450 121% 228%
St. Louis Cardinals  $      518  $   1,600  $   2,245 209% 333%
Philadelphia Phillies  $      609  $   1,240  $   2,050 104% 237%
LA Angels of Anaheim  $      554  $   1,340  $   2,025 142% 266%
Washington Nationals  $      417  $   1,300  $   1,925 212% 362%
Atlanta Braves  $      482  $   1,180  $   1,875 145% 289%
Houston Astros  $      474  $   1,100  $   1,870 132% 295%
Texas Rangers  $      561  $   1,230  $   1,785 119% 218%
Chicago White Sox  $      526  $   1,050  $   1,685 100% 220%
Toronto Blue Jays  $      337  $      900  $   1,675 167% 397%
Seattle Mariners  $      449  $   1,200  $   1,630 167% 263%
San Diego Padres  $      406  $      890  $   1,500 119% 269%
Baltimore Orioles  $      411  $   1,000  $   1,430 143% 248%
Minnesota Twins  $      490  $      910  $   1,325 86% 170%
Arizona Diamondbacks  $      396  $      925  $   1,320 134% 233%
Colorado Rockies  $      414  $      860  $   1,300 108% 214%
Pittsburgh Pirates  $      304  $      975  $   1,285 221% 323%
Detroit Tigers  $      385  $   1,150  $   1,260 199% 227%
Milwaukee Brewers  $      376  $      875  $   1,220 133% 224%
Cleveland Indians  $      353  $      800  $   1,160 127% 229%
Oakland Athletics  $      307  $      725  $   1,125 136% 266%
Cincinnati Reds  $      375  $      905  $   1,085 141% 189%
Kansas City Royals  $      351  $      865  $   1,060 146% 202%
Tampa Bay Rays  $      331  $      650  $   1,055 96% 219%
Florida Marlins  $      360  $      675  $      990 88% 175%

These valuations are freely available from Forbes.

No, these people are not losing money on their investment.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I am not arguing that teams should not be able to make money. Sure, they should. This is a quasi-capitalist system and business owners should have a fair opportunity to make money on their investments, and of course that includes the owners of professional sports team.

I just reject the implication that since a major league ballclub is a small part of a billionaire's or company's or hedge fund's portfolio, they don't need to make a profit on them; therefore, they must not be profiting from their ballclubs. It's prima facie ridiculous to assume that a ballclub is a billionaire's playtoy that hemorrhages cash to please his silly sporty competitive urges. Particularly in an industry that is protected by a literal federal antitrust exemption.

Major league ballclubs are not discretionary playtoys. They are seriously profitable businesses in their own right.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, chasfh said:

MLB franchise valuations in millions:

Team 2011 2016 2021 16 vs '11 21 vs '11
New York Yankees  $   1,700  $   3,400  $   5,250 100% 209%
Boston Red Sox  $      912  $   2,300  $   3,570 152% 291%
Los Angeles Dodgers  $      800  $   2,500  $   3,465 213% 333%
Chicago Cubs  $      773  $   2,200  $   3,360 185% 335%
San Francisco Giants  $      563  $   2,250  $   3,175 300% 464%
New York Mets  $      747  $   1,650  $   2,450 121% 228%
St. Louis Cardinals  $      518  $   1,600  $   2,245 209% 333%
Philadelphia Phillies  $      609  $   1,240  $   2,050 104% 237%
LA Angels of Anaheim  $      554  $   1,340  $   2,025 142% 266%
Washington Nationals  $      417  $   1,300  $   1,925 212% 362%
Atlanta Braves  $      482  $   1,180  $   1,875 145% 289%
Houston Astros  $      474  $   1,100  $   1,870 132% 295%
Texas Rangers  $      561  $   1,230  $   1,785 119% 218%
Chicago White Sox  $      526  $   1,050  $   1,685 100% 220%
Toronto Blue Jays  $      337  $      900  $   1,675 167% 397%
Seattle Mariners  $      449  $   1,200  $   1,630 167% 263%
San Diego Padres  $      406  $      890  $   1,500 119% 269%
Baltimore Orioles  $      411  $   1,000  $   1,430 143% 248%
Minnesota Twins  $      490  $      910  $   1,325 86% 170%
Arizona Diamondbacks  $      396  $      925  $   1,320 134% 233%
Colorado Rockies  $      414  $      860  $   1,300 108% 214%
Pittsburgh Pirates  $      304  $      975  $   1,285 221% 323%
Detroit Tigers  $      385  $   1,150  $   1,260 199% 227%
Milwaukee Brewers  $      376  $      875  $   1,220 133% 224%
Cleveland Indians  $      353  $      800  $   1,160 127% 229%
Oakland Athletics  $      307  $      725  $   1,125 136% 266%
Cincinnati Reds  $      375  $      905  $   1,085 141% 189%
Kansas City Royals  $      351  $      865  $   1,060 146% 202%
Tampa Bay Rays  $      331  $      650  $   1,055 96% 219%
Florida Marlins  $      360  $      675  $      990 88% 175%

These valuations are freely available from Forbes.

No, these people are not losing money on their investment.

And considering the rate to "buy" an expansion team is $2 billion, that should mean every one of those teams is actually worth at least $2 billion

Link to comment
Share on other sites

31 minutes ago, chasfh said:

MLB franchise valuations in millions:

Team 2011 2016 2021 16 vs '11 21 vs '11
New York Yankees  $   1,700  $   3,400  $   5,250 100% 209%
Boston Red Sox  $      912  $   2,300  $   3,570 152% 291%
Los Angeles Dodgers  $      800  $   2,500  $   3,465 213% 333%
Chicago Cubs  $      773  $   2,200  $   3,360 185% 335%
San Francisco Giants  $      563  $   2,250  $   3,175 300% 464%
New York Mets  $      747  $   1,650  $   2,450 121% 228%
St. Louis Cardinals  $      518  $   1,600  $   2,245 209% 333%
Philadelphia Phillies  $      609  $   1,240  $   2,050 104% 237%
LA Angels of Anaheim  $      554  $   1,340  $   2,025 142% 266%
Washington Nationals  $      417  $   1,300  $   1,925 212% 362%
Atlanta Braves  $      482  $   1,180  $   1,875 145% 289%
Houston Astros  $      474  $   1,100  $   1,870 132% 295%
Texas Rangers  $      561  $   1,230  $   1,785 119% 218%
Chicago White Sox  $      526  $   1,050  $   1,685 100% 220%
Toronto Blue Jays  $      337  $      900  $   1,675 167% 397%
Seattle Mariners  $      449  $   1,200  $   1,630 167% 263%
San Diego Padres  $      406  $      890  $   1,500 119% 269%
Baltimore Orioles  $      411  $   1,000  $   1,430 143% 248%
Minnesota Twins  $      490  $      910  $   1,325 86% 170%
Arizona Diamondbacks  $      396  $      925  $   1,320 134% 233%
Colorado Rockies  $      414  $      860  $   1,300 108% 214%
Pittsburgh Pirates  $      304  $      975  $   1,285 221% 323%
Detroit Tigers  $      385  $   1,150  $   1,260 199% 227%
Milwaukee Brewers  $      376  $      875  $   1,220 133% 224%
Cleveland Indians  $      353  $      800  $   1,160 127% 229%
Oakland Athletics  $      307  $      725  $   1,125 136% 266%
Cincinnati Reds  $      375  $      905  $   1,085 141% 189%
Kansas City Royals  $      351  $      865  $   1,060 146% 202%
Tampa Bay Rays  $      331  $      650  $   1,055 96% 219%
Florida Marlins  $      360  $      675  $      990 88% 175%

These valuations are freely available from Forbes.

No, these people are not losing money on their investment.

those are franchise values, not revenue or profit/loss.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I look at owning team like you owning a house that all but guarantees to multiply in value every few years and renting it out to pay the mortgage. 

If your mortgage is 2K a month and you charge 1500 in rent, sure you're going to be losing 6K a year but you're making 10x more than that in equity in this scenario. 

Same with owning sports teams, even if they lose money on the bottom line the equity they gain more than makes up for it.

Edited by RandyMarsh
Link to comment
Share on other sites

58 minutes ago, RandyMarsh said:

I look at owning team like you owning a house that all but guarantees to multiply in value every few years and renting it out to pay the mortgage. 

If your mortgage is 2K a month and you charge 1500 in rent, sure you're going to be losing 6K a year but you're making 10x more than that in equity in this scenario. 

Same with owning sports teams, even if they lose money on the bottom line the equity they gain more than makes up for it.

But you would never buy a house to rent for less than your mortgage/insurance/property taxes.  Otherwise you have to have the extra $6K per year in cash and hope that the market didn't drop.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, RandyMarsh said:

I look at owning team like you owning a house that all but guarantees to multiply in value every few years and renting it out to pay the mortgage. 

If your mortgage is 2K a month and you charge 1500 in rent, sure you're going to be losing 6K a year but you're making 10x more than that in equity in this scenario. 

Same with owning sports teams, even if they lose money on the bottom line the equity they gain more than makes up for it.

sure, but the actual "value of the franchise" is what someone at forbes or wherever thinks someone will pay for it.  it doesnt have anything to do with revenue or profit and loss, which is what was being argued about earlier.  ask tesla.

a more accurate view of profit and losa would be found in the company's books, which we almost never see (and can be manipulated).  that said, when we saw a snapshot of the braves' books this year, they should a very large profit.  i imagine successful teams with large media contracts like the braves also show similar profits.

but those are not all teams.  the idea seemigly put forward by some is that owners shouldnt be concerned with making money on their investment and should only be concerned with "winning" because forbes magazine says their franchises are worth a lot.  so they should just spend a ton of money on salary because they can and will still technically "make money."

i dont think that's viable like i dont think the "poor us were going broke" line from owners is viable either.  teams have budgets dependent on revenue and profit expectations.  that differs based on markets.  so be it.  its not cause owners are evil.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, RandyMarsh said:

I look at owning team like you owning a house that all but guarantees to multiply in value every few years and renting it out to pay the mortgage. 

If your mortgage is 2K a month and you charge 1500 in rent, sure you're going to be losing 6K a year but you're making 10x more than that in equity in this scenario. 

Same with owning sports teams, even if they lose money on the bottom line the equity they gain more than makes up for it.

I really don’t think they’re losing money on the bottom line. I think they’re doing just fine.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, oblong said:

I think there is enough complexity in accounting rules and how these teams are structured than an org can show whatever suits them in terms of a profit or not. When a team goes on sale there’s demand.  

do you think steve ballmer has recouped his $2 billion investment in the clippers yet?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

59 minutes ago, buddha said:

i dont think that's viable like i dont think the "poor us were going broke" line from owners is viable either.  teams have budgets dependent on revenue and profit expectations.  that differs based on markets.  so be it.  its not cause owners are evil.

right. The fans' complaint really should be that as baseball has evolved it has ended up as a cockeyed, backward way to run a major sport which has left pretty much everyone with bad incentives (at least from a fan perspective)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...