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04/26/2026 1:40p EDT Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds
chasfh replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
I seem to remember this happened last year, too, where our wOBA fell well short of our xwOBA. So I did a little digging and found something that kind of startled me. xwOBA—the expected wOBA a player or team should achieve given quality of contact factors such as exit velo and launch angle—has been around as a stat since 2015, so I went to FanGraphs and downloaded the full season data by team since then—eleven seasons, 30 teams each season, 330 data points—and compared their xwOBAs to their actual wOBAs across time. I created a separate column subtracting expected from actual to see whether the team's wOBA was under their xwOBA, or over it, and counted how many of the eleven seasons each team either underachieved their xwOBA, or else overacheieved it. Here are the results, ranked by worst average underachievement for the past 11 years. Spoiler alert: the Tigers are historically the very worst at overachieving their xwOBA with a better wOBA: Team Under Over Ave Diff MaxUnder MaxOver DET 10 1 -.0070 -.015 .000 OAK 9 1 -.0069 -.013 .006 KCR 9 2 -.0069 -.015 .005 SEA 9 2 -.0054 -.010 .005 PIT 8 3 -.0054 -.019 .006 LAA 10 1 -.0052 -.011 .004 STL 8 3 -.0046 -.014 .005 ATL 8 3 -.0034 -.012 .009 NYY 6 5 -.0034 -.020 .009 TEX 6 5 -.0024 -.016 .006 MIA 6 5 -.0024 -.011 .008 CLE 5 6 -.0020 -.017 .005 LAD 8 3 -.0019 -.011 .004 SFG 8 3 -.0019 -.011 .007 WSN 7 4 -.0015 -.013 .006 SDP 6 5 -.0014 -.016 .008 TOR 7 4 -.0011 -.007 .010 NYM 5 6 -.0008 -.013 .015 MIN 5 6 -.0008 -.017 .009 BAL 5 6 .0007 -.007 .019 CHW 4 7 .0009 -.017 .010 CHC 3 8 .0012 -.010 .009 PHI 4 7 .0012 -.006 .007 MIL 4 7 .0030 -.017 .014 ARI 2 9 .0030 -.009 .009 HOU 6 5 .0037 -.004 .016 CIN 2 9 .0043 -.017 .012 TBR 2 9 .0050 -.006 .013 BOS 3 8 .0070 -.001 .022 COL 0 11 .0139 .001 .027 ATH 0 1 .0144 .014 .014 (Read this table as: DET underachieved their xwOBA ten of eleven seasons and overachieved in one; the average difference for DET is -.007, or .007 lower wOBA than xwOBA; the maximum underachievement for DET was minus .015, and the maximum overachievement was .000.) In ten of eleven years, The Tigers' wOBA underachieved their xwOBA, and suffered the highest average underachievement of any of the 30 franchises. Only one other team, the Angels, experienced 10 out of 11 underachievements, but no other team's maximum overachievement was so low that it rounds down to zero at three digits, which itself is only a hair from an eleventh underachievement. This consistent underachievement of wOBA versus xwOBA is not something we can pin on Harris, because this happened not only for Harris teams, but for Avila teams, and for the Dombrowski team in 2015 (which, to be fair, had the sole overachivement of the eleven Tiger squads measured). Given this, and also given how persistent underachievers like OAK and SEA and LAA tend to play in tough-to-hit ballaprks while consistent overachievers like COL and BOS and CIN play in easy-to-hit ballparks, I'm given to hypothesizing that the xwOBA stat itself may not have sufficiently ironed ballpark factors out of the reported number. -
Keep it up! It’s as if Lawler learned nothing with that angry town hall he had recently. I mean, he knows, but this is the party with the fealty to one man with a 67% disapproval rating. Hopefully it will be their downfall.
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A coup[le more random thoughts from last night.. November 17, 1973. Richard Nixon "I'm not a crook" April 26, 2026. Donald Trump. "I'm not a rapist" "I am not a pedophile" Look how far we've come in 53 years
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First of all the White House should have no control over the WCA Dinner. This event is sponsored by the White House Correspondence Association. The President is a guest (as are all other extemporizes hangers on who attend these function. (and paid the price to attend). It is up to the White House and Secret Service to provide security for the President (and I assume his party). Having spent a bit of time around these huge convention type hotels, it's impossible to shut them down completely for one event. That said the fact the guy didn't get past the main checkpoint proves that security worked Saturday night despite MAGA talking points. Everything else goes back to my main believes. The occupant of the White House is merely that. While he is the President and Supreme Commander, when it comes to his/her living quarters he/she should have no more rights than your average renter. Tearing down parts of buildings and building whatever they want without permission should be grounds for immediate eviction and restitution. Trump should be kicked to the street and made to finance all unauthorized repairs immediately. Move him and his bride to the same barraks his flunkies are staying in and start charging rent. Or he can go back to Florida and build his big ugly ballroom
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You might have heard about this kind of thing: It's a ****ty thing when megacorporations can use the imbalance of marketplace information and technology power to maximize the separation of you from your money, but this article has some really good tips overall about how to minimize the probability of this, and they are relatively easy to implement if you just take a little care to do so: Delete cookies and cache regularly: This removes the tracking data companies use to determine pricing Use a virtual private network (VPN): VPNs mask your location data, which makes it difficult for retailers using dynamic pricing algorithms to raise prices Be wary of loyalty programs: These programs are ways retailers access your data to determine your shopping habits. The more data they have on you, the more likely they are to predict what you are going to buy, when and how much you're willing to spend. Shop with different devices: Before buying online, use your mobile phone and your computer, since prices can differ on each. Don't make repeated searches: If you're looking for a last-minute flight, chances are you're going to visit airline and travel deal websites to find the best deals. The only problem is that retailers can follow your searches, seeing your urgency and providing prices reflective of this. If you want to compare shops, use different browsers to do so. I've never loved the first one, deleting cookies and cache, because cookies can be very handy and the whole process of doing so is ... well, a process. The VPN is always a great idea, though, and I shop with different devices and use private browsing and the DuckDuckGo browser a lot to avoid being marked to a personal price hike.
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Question: Can Derrick Moore turn into Maxx Crosby 2.0?
MichiganCardinal replied to 1984Echoes's topic in Detroit Lions
Good thing we learned from Manu and aren’t setting unrealistic expectations. -
He didn't stop golfing when the second guy targeted his golf course.
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Question: Can Derrick Moore turn into Maxx Crosby 2.0?
Motown Bombers replied to 1984Echoes's topic in Detroit Lions
Maxx Crosby 2.0 and I was the one accused of being Brad’s burner account. - Today
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Question: Can Derrick Moore turn into Maxx Crosby 2.0?
Mr.TaterSalad replied to 1984Echoes's topic in Detroit Lions
The comparison that Lance Zuerline of NFL.com had for him in his scouting report was Bucaneers LB/Edge Yaya Diaby. Diaby is the same height as Moore, but has about 15lbs of muscle on Moore. He's only a 3rd year player himself and has had 2 seasons of 7+ sacks and 30+ pressures. If Moore averaged 7 sacks and 30+ pressures a year, I'd be fairly happy with that. -
04/26/2026 1:40p EDT Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds
IdahoBert replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
I hope this day off doesn’t disrupt Torkelson’s Mojo. Maybe he’ll come out of the gate so rested he’ll hit three home runs the first game in Atlanta. 😃 -
if actually true, yes. they would have to be. unfortunately, we gave up our #1 pick already.
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Then Chris Ilitch will use the money to finance a new show that will be featured at the Fox Theatre, called Lately My Friends, which will be about Chris, several City of Detroit officials, and several from the State, all of whom end up at a condo in The District Detroit™ with hilarious consequences.
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I'm going to be interested in following Moore's career. He's phenomenal as a pass-rusher but needs to be coached up in the "setting-the-edge" department. I believe (from the scouting reports). Or maybe he just needs to add 10 pounds of muscle. Nearly (1/8" off) 6'4", 255 pounds (add 10 for 265)... I think a Maxx Crosby 2.0 may be even beyond our expectations... Or does anyone else want to drink this koolaid? The thought popped up in my head this morning... So what does everyone else think? I'm going to pop this thread up to the top... every now and then... based on Derrick's career ups and downs...
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Old enough to remember when they hounded Biden for not going out in public enough...
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Last weekend I did around 20 hours of yard work over the course of 3 days. This past weekend I did at least 11. I’m stiff. I’m sore. The satisfaction though is worth it.
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This is why you never reply in the affirmative if “someone” on the phone asks you if you can hear them. It’s usually a bot. I always repeat “what?!” because a human would answer differently.
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Ok, fellas. He’s about to be exiled from Canada. Are we in on trade talks for a prototypical power forward?
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Fascinating to see how this crowd operates.
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Genuinely astounding at a time of higher gas prices and Americans feeling as anxious as ever about their own personal finances, *this* is something that vulnerable Rs are running with.
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a good point.
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Stephen Miller looking for more power to grab (see what I did there) Pressure builds to oust Wiles after Trump dinner shooting that article is fed by someone feeding it to the "journalist"
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Looks like the Idiotic Trump regime is trying to pressure the UK by threatening the Falklands Islands. Last time it was under threat the Reagan admin had a boner for the Argentine Junta fighting communists and now the MAGA idiots love them some Millei. Nazis gonna nazi.
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4/27/26 8:00PM RD1 GM4 Pistons (1-2) @ Magic (2-1)
buddha replied to Tigeraholic1's topic in Detroit Pistons
win this one and theyre back to being the favorite. -
Sounds like Julie K. Brown's life is in serious danger from the MAGAs and Russia-adjacent types like this guy Michael Tracey. 'P*ssy!' Michael Tracey and Jim Acosta Almost Fight
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04/26/2026 1:40p EDT Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds
romad1 replied to casimir's topic in Detroit Tigers
She's got a heart of gold tho.
