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romad1

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I don’t understand America’s infatuation with the death penalty. Cruz committed monstrous acts, no doubt about it. And we can play this literal game of life-and-death about it, comparing apples to murder, in attempt to understand “how MUCH mental illness/childhood neglect/deprivation is enough to mitigate a mass shooting”… but to what end? 

Was this 30+ day trial really worth it? Even if they had declared him a monster by dispositional characteristics, and said he didn’t deserve the oxygen we breath… is it worth it to drag the victim’s families through this process? To still have to spend tens of millions of dollars to then defend the decision on appeal for the next 10-20 years? As opposed to a couple hundred thousand housing him for the next 50 years.

Add onto that that the exact same act a couple hundred miles north in Virginia (or 25 other states in the US) it wouldn’t even be considered.

I just don’t understand the logical appeal. It seems entirely based on emotion, which is both barbaric and stupid. Won’t change anytime soon with the current Supreme Court either.

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How do we know that any given porn actress any politician hooks up with is a porn star? As in top-of-the-game star, like, on the level of Ginger Lynn or Nina Hartley? Maybe this Nicole Sage is just a second-rate barely-anybody in that game who’s actually benefitting more from being with him than he with her? I always wondered that about Stormy Daniels, too …

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On 10/15/2022 at 10:03 AM, chasfh said:

How do we know that any given porn actress any politician hooks up with is a porn star? As in top-of-the-game star, like, on the level of Ginger Lynn or Nina Hartley? Maybe this Nicole Sage is just a second-rate barely-anybody in that game who’s actually benefitting more from being with him than he with her? I always wondered that about Stormy Daniels, too …

I miss young Ginger.  I miss young Romad too

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1 hour ago, Jim Cowan said:

Don't do it, don't start one of those violent "Ginger vs Mary Ann" epic brawls where guys end up in the hospital.

Matter of fact:  my buddy and I were Ginger vs. Amber Lynn.  I liked Ginger's sweetly pretty good looks and my buddy was into Amber's obvious curves.   Ginger was like a tumble in the late summer hay in the barn where as Amber was like some gritty back alley on a rainy night in Tokyo where the stakes were life or death.   

Of course, Ginger's young lithe body was kept lean by copious amounts of cocaine so she was clearly not Mary Ann...

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1 hour ago, romad1 said:

Matter of fact:  my buddy and I were Ginger vs. Amber Lynn.  I liked Ginger's sweetly pretty good looks and my buddy was into Amber's obvious curves.   Ginger was like a tumble in the late summer hay in the barn where as Amber was like some gritty back alley on a rainy night in Tokyo where the stakes were life or death.   

Of course, Ginger's young lithe body was kept lean by copious amounts of cocaine so she was clearly not Mary Ann...

That “sweetly pretty” look obviously took a lot of product to achieve. 

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NYT with a column about the ever growing problems with political polling in the US. Same issue we've covered here - you can get a pretty relatively solid idea about how opinions distrubute, but they have little clue how to get a handle on turn-out. And even the opinion part gets harder every year as phone polling get progressively more difficult to do.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/24/opinion/frustrated-with-polling-pollsters-are-too.html

Quote

Pollsters are holding their breath. Their time-tested method of randomly dialing up people isn’t working like it used to. Voter turnout in the last two national elections was a blowout compared to years past. Donald Trump’s most enthusiastic supporters seem to be shunning calls to participate in polls.

But what’s really troubling pollsters going into this election is that it’s unclear how much more error these problems will add during this cycle. In fact, many think it’s unknowable.

To be fair to pollsters, many Americans demand more certainty and precision from political polls than they do from other disciplines of social science. Just a couple of percentage points can make all the difference in an election.

I talked to 10 of the country’s leading pollsters to discuss the midterm elections and what worries them the most about polling. Most understand the public’s frustrations. Some are experimenting with new approaches. Others are concerned that the problems are deeper than what their current toolkit can fix. Spend several hours talking to them, and there’s only one conclusion you can reach: the same cross-currents of mistrust, misinformation and polarization that divide our nation are also weakening our ability to see it for what it is. The stronger those forces grow, the worse our polling gets......

 

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I can usually tell a polling outfits bias by the wording of the questions. Either the framing or use of certain buzzzwords.   I wonder two things:  
 

Would a person be more likely to participate if they detect their side asking?

Could a firm work around this by pretending to be the other side to elicit responses? 

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41 minutes ago, Screwball said:

This could go in the investment thread, but I don't want to do that.  I don't care if you love or hate the guy, he is, without a doubt, a real hoot.

 

yeah - there might have been a better pun to make on 'kichen sink' than 'sink in' but still not bad. It will be too bad if he kills twitter, but I think it's probably equally likely that he just wants everyone there scared enough to soil their diapers as that he's going to do half of what he's talked about.

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6 minutes ago, pfife said:

I'm anticipating it going to shit personally

of course the current management has been no great shakes. I guess I don't follow the logic of overpaying for an asset and then immediately breaking it and very likely cratering your revenue. Effective corporate tranformation generally ends up costing money so you don't want to kill the goose at least until you've got some golden eggs banked.  🥚🥚

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