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The 2022 Midterm Elections


chasfh

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1 hour ago, Motown Bombers said:

When something is only reported by Fox News, Breitbart and Charlie Duff, I tend to be skeptical. 

I also wonder if Leduff is going to have a fit if Republicans use his show in campaign materials like he did when the Democrats took clips of Dixon from his show? 

Leduff seems like James Yoder.  

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based on the story in the News this pretty thin.

Slotkin moved to Lansing area due to redistricting.  She's renting a condo, at $2K a month, from someone who recently moved to CT.  That someone is linked to a company that has does business with the US Gov't for many years.   That company has had support from many members of congress from both parties and both they are their competitors have been awarded contracts.  A quick check on furnished Condos in Lansing showed that's a normal price.  She's not overpaying and he's not under charging.

 

 

 

 

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4 hours ago, Motown Bombers said:

 

More details on the ratings

https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/notes-on-the-state-of-politics-sept-28-2022/

Earlier this summer, in what was a somewhat surprising dynamic, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, the Democratic nominee in the state’s closely-watched Senate contest, often polled better than Shapiro (although both were ahead in their respective races). In more recent polling, Shapiro generally seems to be the better-performing Democrat: in a Marist poll released yesterday, Shapiro leads Mastriano 53%-40%, while Fetterman leads his opponent, television doctor Mehmet Oz (R), by a slightly lesser 51%-41% margin. On Monday, a poll from Insider Advantage showed a wider gap: that firm had Fetterman up by just 3, but Shapiro was up by 15.

The higher-stakes nature of the Senate race may be contributing to that movement: with the chamber split 50-50, Senate control could well hinge on the Pennsylvania result, and the parties are spending accordingly. When asked about potential plans to spend in the Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey, who co-chairs the Republican Governors Association, replied “We don’t fund lost causes and we don’t fund landslides.” Reading between the lines, we’d guess that Mastriano’s contest, from the GOP perspective, falls into the former category.

Since Dixon emerged as the GOP nominee, we have seen few indications that she has made headway against Whitmer. According to FiveThirtyEight’s poll database, the only recent survey that showed the race within single-digits was from the GOP-leaning Trafalgar Group. As with Shapiro, ad spending has been heavily slanted in Whitmer’s favor: according to AdImpact, the Whitmer campaign and pro-Democratic groups have outspent conservative forces by more than 8-to-1.

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8 hours ago, Motown Bombers said:

Bernie Sanders is at it again. Nearing election time and he has to throw a wet blanket on democrats.

 

It's starting to occur to me that Bernie prefers Republicans to be in power because then he gets more attention for his socialist megaphone. He needs the country to go extreme to the right so people will take his extreme-to-the-left rhetoric seriously. But as long as centrist Democrats are in control and making things happen for the people instead of the plutocrats—things like student debt forgiveness, infrastructure law, climate change action, gun restrictions, anti-hate and -violence laws and the like—as long as things are going in the right direction, the people who like those things aren't as receptive to Bernie's turn-everything-upside-down-and start-over message.

This is what I see behind Bernie's sandbagging the Democrats this late in the cycle.

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